If you’re looking for love and there are ten bars in town, your chance of meeting someone is 10 per cent. In a town with only one bar, your odds are 100 per cent.
The same thing happens in nature and is called landmarking. Butterflies and other species find mates by gathering at easily identifiable locations such as the tallest tree or mountain.
When invasive species like Asian carp engage in this highly efficient mating practice, the results can be disastrous, says Kim Cuddington, an ecology professor in the Faculty of Science at the University of Waterloo. “For species like Asian carp, precautionary measures have to be extraordinary to prevent their establishment in the Great Lakes,” says Cuddington.
Landmarking affects endangered and invasive species
In a recent paper published in the journal Theoretical Ecology, Cuddington demonstrates how landmarking works and how it should play a key role in the way we approach population control – for both conserving endangered species and controlling invasive ones.
Cuddington turned to a branch of math called combinatorics, the most famous example of which is the birthday problem – how many people do you need before you have two people with the same birthday (the answer is 23).
Cuddington shows landmarking works the same way: What is the probability of a male finding a female at a fixed number of sites? The more prominent and rare the location is, the greater the chance a male will meet a female.
Only 10 Asian carp need to establish population in Great Lakes
This highly efficient mate-finding strategy allows species to reproduce even when population densities are impossibly low. In 2013, Cuddington showed that only ten Asian carp are needed to establish a population in the Great Lakes.
Perhaps most importantly, her research highlights how landmarking cannot be managed intuitively.
For example with an endangered species, if the number of landmarked sites is increased, the individuals will have a lower chance of finding a mate. In contrast, decreasing the number of landmarked sites, in an effort to keep invasive species from reproducing, has the opposite effect, and ensures individuals have a near certain chance of finding a mate.
In the case of the Asian carp, these species use river water quality and flow rate as landmarks and can therefore find a mate more easily than originally thought.
Continue reading at University of Waterloo.
Carp image via Shutterstock.